As of 1997, once the the writer visited the second, just the Great Wall of China and Fresh Kills landfill in Staten Island shared the excellence to be the only man-made structures visible from space. Visible from space neither then nor now as well as produced by what the authors wife regards as half a guy at best would be the NERD scores one finds below.
Devised originally in response to a challenge i sued by viscount from the internet Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for that learned fan, of the player or team or game.
NERD for Pitchers: Leaderboard and FormulaLeaders and LaggardsHere would be the leaders thus far by pitcher NERD (minimum 20 IP as starter):NameNERDxFIP-SwStrkStrkVeloAgePaceLuckKNJose Fernandez102.722.431.321.901.841.730.600.00Stephen Strasburg102.112.130.861.350.86-0.071.000.00Masahiro Tanaka102.412.471.860.240.86-1.320.050.00Michael Wacha101.241.350.750.881.351.730.000.00Ervin Santana102.012.770.940.530.000.430.000.00Yordano Ventura100.681.310.122.461.350.940.000.00Zack Greinke102.471.270.450.000.00-1 Trent Richardson Jersey .151.000.00Nathan Eovaldi100.830.191.712.071.110.830.000.00Alex Wood101.551.051.110.001.351.050.000.00Cliff Lee101.550.242.140.000.001.111.000.00
And here, not for free, are the laggards with that same measure:NameNERDxFIP-SwStrkStrkVeloAgePaceLuckKNPaul Maholm0-2.03-1.70-1.910.000.000.550.350.00Scott Feldman0-1.52-1.78-0.160.000.00-1.600.000.00Kevin Correia0-1.77-1.91-0.630.000.00-1.261.000.00A.J. Burnett0-1.21-0.71-1.850.000.00-1.260.000.00Hector Santiago0-1.47-1.82-1.600.060.62-0.530.000.00Miguel Gonzalez0-1.36-0.84-0.820.000.00-0.580.150.00John Danks0-1.82-0.11-1.020.000.001.220.000.00Ubaldo Jimenez0-1.82-1.52-1.130.000.000.771.000.00Bronson Arroyo1-1.87-1.740.150.000.000.771.000.00Kyle Gibson1-1.06-1.27-1.870.000.62-0.020.000.00
FormulaThe formula for pitcher NERD remains largely unchanged since last season with the exception that ERA and xFIP happen to be replaced by park-adjusted ERA and xFIP (i.e. ERA- and xFIP-) for Greatest Precision. Below are the components included in its calculation:
xFIP- Swinging-Strike Rate (SwStrk) Strike Rate (Strk) Velocity (Velo) Age Pace ERA- minus xFIP- (Luck) Knuckleball Rate (KN)
And heres the formula itself:
(zxFIP- * 2) + (zSwStrk / 2) + (zStrk / 2) + zVelo + zAge + (zPace / 2) + (Luck / 20) + (KN * 5) + Constant
Notes Any variable preceded with a z represents the z-score or standard deviations from the mean of the relevant metric. The population employed for determining the mean in this instance includes all pitchers whove thrown 20 innings as a starter.
Players will never be a se sed negative, only Coby Fleener Jersey positive, scores for Velo, Age, and Luck. Any number that might be below zero is just rendered as zero. Observe that Velo and Age are limited to 2.0; Luck, at 1.0. For science reasons.
The continual right now is about 3.8.
NERD for Teams: Leaderboard and FormulaLeaderboardHeres the entire leaderboard for team NERD. Attorney at law of the aspects of, and formula for, team NERD follow below:TeamsNERDBatHR%BsRBullDefPayAgeLuckAngels101.122.381.780.191.140.000.000.74Rockies91.050.660.34-0.051.740.731.320.00Braves90.001.490.282.232.270.260.540.00Marlins90.170.301.06-0.680.641.551.320.39Pirates8-1.061.201.500.11-0.040.530.541.60Rays70.57-0.220.62-0.680.450.880.001.04Brewers70.220.28-0.322.621.020.530.000.00Astros6-1.730.79-0.21-0.52-1.881.622.091.03Giants60.091.75-0.550.81-0.390.000.000.00Dodgers50.420.66-0.550.110.840.000.000.23Twins50.69-0.110.17-0.29-1.030.580.540.00Athletics51.500.87-1.980.58-0.840.850.000.00Indians5-0.29-0.791.110.26-1.290.600.000.81Blue Jays5-0.030.790.01-0.600.240.000.000.33Nationals50.660.31-0.931.13-0.530.000.540.00Mariners5-1.850.25-0.71-0.440.790.681.320.93Yankees50.13-0.571.280.03-0.690.000.000.00Cubs4-1.81-0.340.73-1.150.300.090.541.51Reds4-0.29-0.580.06-1.861.960.060.000.68Tigers30.25-0.12-0.320.11-0.850.000.000.00Red Sox3-0.33-0.08-1.371.13-0.810.000.001.01Orioles3-0.32-1.050.23-0.21-0.390.180.540.00D-backs3-1.56-0.81-0.930.42-0.260.440.002.00Rangers3-0.07-1.360. Donald Brown Jersey 84-0.600.110.060.000.00White Sox30.530.47-1.71-1.93-0.910.001.320.00Padres3-2.11-1.050.840.030.740.750.000.38Mets3-1.96-1.161.44-0.600.720.600.000.00Royals3-1.37-1.79-0.551.131.350.550.540.00Phillies2-0.36-0.76-0.55-0.91-0.060.000.000.00Cardinals1-1.08-1.38-1.59-0.360.190.100.540.00
FormulaThe formula for team NERD which formulas a sorted variables are all below.
Here would be the components included in its calculation:
Park-Adjusted Batting Runs Excellent (Bat) Park-Adjusted Homer Rate (HR%) Baserunning Runs (BsR) Bullpen xFIP (Bull) Defensive Runs (Def) Payroll, Where Below Average Is Better (Pay) Batter Age, Where Younger Is Better (Age) Expected Wins, Per WAR, Minus Actual Wins (Luck)
And heres the formula for team NERD:
zBat + zHR% + zBsR + (zBull / 2) + (zDef / 2) + zPay + zAge + (Luck / 2) + Constant
Notes Just like pitcher NERD, any variable preceded with a z represents the z-score from the relevant metric in this instance, in accordance with averages for the whole league.
Teams are never a se sed negative, but only positive, scores for Pay, Age, and Luck. A variety that might be below zero is simply rendered as zero. Note that Luck is limited to 2.0.
The continual for team NERD happens to be at approximately 4.0.
Todays Highest-Rated GameCleveland at La AL | 22:05 ETJustin Masterson (28.0 IP, 87 xFIP-, 0.3 WAR) faces Tyler Skaggs (28.0 IP, 100 xFIP-, 0.4 WAR). Regarding the Angels, it appears as though their poor-ish record at the moment (11-13) has little related to the caliber of the clubs field players. To wit: theyre second within the majors by park-adjusted hitting (113 wRC+) and first overall in batter WAR (6.2). The clubs starting pitchers, meanwhile, have skewed decidedly more mediocre.
Readers Preferred Broadcast: Cleveland Radio.
Todays MLB.TV Free GameOakland at Texas | 20:05 ETSonny Gray (32.0 IP, 84 xFIP-, 0.8 WAR) faces Yu Darvish (28.0 IP, 91 xFIP-, 1.1 WAR). Of note regarding the latter: while, for a lot of this past year, his overall excellence more than compensated for his very slow pace, thats le s therefore the situation so far in 2014. Neither Darvishs park-adjusted xFIP (91 xFIP-) nor his swinging-strike rate (9.7%) are half a typical deviation better than average.
Readers Preferred Broadcast: Texas Radio.
Complete ScheduleHeres the complete agenda for all todays games, with this very proprietary watchability (NERD) scores for each one. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and RotoWire.
Note: Andre Johnson Jersey the next table is entirely sortable.
AwaySPTm.Gm.Tm.SPHomeTimeJeff SamardzijaCHN55443CINAlfredo Simon19:10Sonny GrayOAK65535TEXYu Darvish20:05Jake Odorizzi*TB77533CHAAndre Rienzo*20:10Yovani GallardoMIL276110STLMichael Wacha20:15Franklin MoralesCOL39536AZWade Miley21:40Justin MastersonCLE756104LAATyler Skaggs22:05Tyson Ro sSD53667SFM. Bumgarner22:15
To find out how Game NERD Scores are calculated, click the link.* = Fewer than 20 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author. |